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NFL Week 1 – Opening Lines vs Current Numbers

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The wait is over — Week 1 of the NFL season is here, and sportsbooks have already seen plenty of movement since the openers dropped. Below is a snapshot of the most notable line moves from open to now across the key books (Caesars, BetMGM, FanDuel, Bet365, BetRivers, SugarHouse).


Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Jets

  • Opener: Steelers -2.5
  • Now: Jets +3 across most books
  • Shift: 📈 Big swing to the Jets side, with public money (76%) piling in on New York.

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

  • Opener: Colts -1.5
  • Now: Essentially a pick’em (Colts -1 / Dolphins +1.5 at some shops)
  • Shift: Line has bounced around, reflecting sharp disagreement. Miami backers have pulled this into coin-flip territory.

Carolina Panthers @ Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Opener: Jaguars -3
  • Now: Jags -3.5 to -4
  • Shift: Market confidence in Jacksonville, moving through the key number of -3.

New York Giants @ Washington Commanders

  • Opener: Washington -7
  • Now: Commanders -6
  • Shift: Sharp money on Big Blue, pulling it off the touchdown.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

  • Opener: Bengals -5.5
  • Now: Bengals -5
  • Shift: Browns backers (75% of tickets) trimming the number slightly.

Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots

  • Opener: Patriots -2.5
  • Now: Steady at -2.5 across the board
  • Shift: Minimal action — market holding firm.

Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints

  • Opener: Cardinals -4.5
  • Now: Cards -6.5
  • Shift: One of the biggest movers of the week — Arizona steamed up more than 2 points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons

  • Opener: Falcons +1.5
  • Now: Essentially a coin flip, with Tampa around -1
  • Shift: Market tug-of-war; no clear consensus.

Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos

  • Opener: Broncos -7
  • Now: Broncos -8.5
  • Shift: 📈 Strong push toward Denver, despite Tennessee drawing 87% of tickets.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

  • Opener: 49ers -1.5
  • Now: Still -1.5 everywhere
  • Shift: Zero market movement — books content with the opener.

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers

  • Opener: Packers -1.5
  • Now: Packers -2 to -2.5
  • Shift: Green Bay support tightening up, line climbing slightly.

Houston Texans @ L.A. Rams

  • Opener: Rams -2.5
  • Now: Rams -3
  • Shift: Small but steady tick toward the Rams.

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills (SNF)

  • Opener: Bills -1.5
  • Now: Ravens -1 at some books, others still pick’em
  • Shift: Flipped favorite alert 🚨 — Baltimore has gone from dog to chalk.

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears (MNF)

  • Opener: Vikings -1.5
  • Now: Vikings -1 / Bears +1.5
  • Shift: Market holding close to opener, slight Bears lean in spots.

✅ Takeaways

  • Biggest swing: Jets catching +3 after opening +2.5 vs Steelers.
  • Steadiest line: Raiders vs Patriots locked at -2.5.
  • Flip favorite: Baltimore now favored over Buffalo in primetime.
  • Public fade spot: Titans heavy ticket % but line pushing to Denver.

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