College Football’s Sunday (and Monday) Line Movers

Three left on the Week 1 board, and the market already told a story. Here’s the clean breakdown of where the numbers opened vs where they sit now — plus what that steam usually means.

Virginia Tech at #13 South Carolina — Sun 3:00 PM ET

• Opener: SC -9.5
• Now (consensus): -7.5 (some -7)
• Move: ~2–2.5 pts toward Virginia Tech
• Ticket split (site grid): ~79% on VT / 21% SC
• Read: Classic compression through 10 to the key of 7. Books are respecting Hokies money enough to test -7.5 and even -7 in spots. If you like VT, you wanted +9.5/+8.5; at +7.5 you’re paying the tax. If you like SC, -7 is your best-case buy point.

#6 Notre Dame at #10 Miami — Sun 7:30 PM ET

• Opener: ND -1.5
• Now (consensus): -3 (a few -2.5 / -115)
• Move: ~1–1.5 pts toward Notre Dame
• Ticket split: ~55% Miami / 45% ND (but price moved to ND)
• Read: That’s market respect for Irish money (potential sharp side) despite a slight majority of tickets on Miami. If you like ND, grab -2.5 when you see it; if you’re on the Canes, you’re rooting for +3 flat (or better) and not paying extra juice.

TCU vs North Carolina — Mon 8:00 PM ET

• Opener: TCU -1.5
• Now (consensus): -3.5
• Move: ~+2 pts toward TCU (through 3)
• Ticket split: ~64% TCU / 36% UNC
• Read: The key-number pop is the headline: through 3 to 3.5 is real steam. Horned Frogs support is broad and early. If you need UNC, wait — a +4 buy might show pre-kick if books keep shading with the action.

UNC’s Quick Playsheet

• Biggest steam: TCU -1.5 → -3.5 (key-number breach)
• Public dog alert: Virginia Tech driving the number down to/near 7
• Sharp tell: ND -1.5 → -3 even with more tickets on Miami

Timing tips:

• VT/SC: If you want South Carolina, try to snag -7. If you’re on VT, don’t let it slip to +7 flat if you can help it.
• ND/Miami: -2.5 is gold for Irish backers; +3 or better is what Canes bettors want.
• TCU/UNC: If you missed -2.5/-3, consider the moneyline on TCU or wait to see if market buyback gifts -3. UNC backers should window-shop for +4.